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Study Reveals Shocking Risks Pregnant People Would Face Under a National Abortion Ban

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Outlawing any and all terminations of pregnancies across the entirety of the United States could result in a 21 percent jump in pregnancy-related deaths, estimates a recent study. Among Black communities, the figure is an even more shocking 33 percent.

 

The research doesn’t even take into account the potential risks of illicit abortions, which, although safer today than in the past, aren’t 100 percent risk-free, so they could push the mortality rate even higher.

While the scenario is purely hypothetical, not to mention extreme, the prediction highlights the potential costs of broad-sweeping legislation that seeks to simplify what is a complex and very personal issue.

“The takeaway here is that if you deny people abortion, pregnancy-related deaths will increase because staying pregnant is more dangerous to a woman than having an abortion,” says the study’s author Amanda Stevenson, a sociologist from the University of Colorado Boulder.

Though accessibility and restrictions vary from one jurisdiction to the next, most people in the US can seek a termination of their pregnancy for reasons that are between them and their physician.

In 2017, some 862,000 abortions were legally practiced across the nation – a figure that reflects a long-term downward trend resulting from a mix of factors, including a general decline in overall pregnancies.

While an increasing number of people are opting out of building bigger families, those who do happen to fall pregnant still face a significant risk of complications that put their health in jeopardy.

 

For every 100,000 live births reported in 2017, some 17 birthing parents lost their lives. The statistic adds up to around 675 deaths in all, a total that’s no less tragic but thankfully relatively limited thanks to advances in medical intervention.

Termination of a potentially life-threatening pregnancy remains one medically sanctioned option across the US. Even the controversial ‘Senate Bill 8‘ legislation passed in Texas early this year – which outlaws the majority of abortions after 6 weeks – leaves some (albeit ill-defined) room for ‘medical emergencies’.

Yet, by constructing a civil law that threatens any individual who “aids or abets” an abortion, Texas’s attempt to ban terminations could have far broader implications, forcing health specialists to gamble over lives in the face of potential litigation.

To estimate the health impact similar laws might have in the event that no medical emergency-based abortions were carried out across any US state, Stevenson took the published annual figures on births and abortions for 2014 to 2017 and then deduced the number of gestations that would have continued to birth had a termination not occurred.

Given the risk of death from abortion is just 0.6 for every 100,000 procedures, compared with a number closer to 20 for every live birth, it’s not hard to predict mortality rates would climb.

 

According to Stevenson’s estimates, the 675 deaths in 2017 would look more like 724 throughout the first 12 months following the hypothetical bill, representing a 7 percent increase. This would flatten out to 815 each year after – around 21 percent more deaths than occur currently.

To get a sense of how this would break down across demographics, Stevenson had to go back to 2014 reports, the last year minority categories for abortion statistics were available. Among Black populations, the number could rise by around 33 percent.

The figures aren’t precise predictions given the wide range of assumptions at work. For example, the CDC’s figures on pregnancy-related mortality seem to have risen over the years, and we’re not sure why. Increased reporting is one possibility, but so are errors leading to an overestimation.

The numbers also don’t take into account the subtleties of human behavior, such as the impact of disobeying the law. Illicit abortions, whether medically informed or through desperate use of ‘home remedies’ or other forms of misinformation, come with their own risks.

But to Stevenson, speculating over the consequences of such civil disobedience misses the point: A law that interferes with a person’s right to govern their own health and wellbeing puts those lives at risk.

“We need to stop talking about coat hangers and start talking in an honest way about how these laws will actually impact women’s lives and mortality,” says Stevenson.

“This study provides one piece of the evidence we need to begin that hard conversation.” 

This research was published in Demography.

 

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Indian Coast Guard to get three more pollution control vessels to enhance capabilities

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Panaji: As a marine pollution control response, three more pollution control vessels (PCVs) will be added to the Indian Coast Guard’s (ICG) fleet, Union Defence Secretary Ajay Kumar said on Tuesday.

Speaking to reporters on the sidelines of the 8th National Pollution Response Exercise currently taking place in Goa, Kumar said that India is also willing to help friendly countries in upgrading their capabilities.

Around 19 friendly countries are participating in the exercise.

The Union government is continuously trying to upgrade the ICG’s capabilities to face pollution hazards in the ocean.

“Today, the Indian Coast Guard is capable of handling the highest level of oil spills in this region, which is 700 tonnes and above. Only a few countries in the world have this capability,” Kumar said.

Currently, the ICG has two dedicated vessels for pollution response, while three more will be added to its fleet to enhance its capability, he said.

The Indian Ocean is one of the busiest routes in the world and half of the trade takes place in the region, the senior official said, adding that oil exploration has also increase and accidents can happen anywhere.

Countries are also battling with the issue of plastic waste being dumped in the ocean, he said.

“We need to fight this (plastic pollution) collectively. It cannot be done by one country. All the coastal countries in the region need to make efforts,” Kumar said.

The defence secretary lauded the Punit Sagar Mission launched by Prime Minister Narendra Modi to clear plastic from the coastline.

“We should ensure that plastic waste is not washed into the ocean. Every year, 15,000 million tonnes of plastic washes into the Indian Ocean from different countries. If this continues, our marine life, environment, ecology and health will be affected,” he said.

Asked about cooperation from Pakistan and China over the pollution response, Kumar said, “This is an environmental issue and all countries should contribute towards it.” Several treaties have been signed to reduce pollution in the Indian Ocean, and friendly nations will have to collectively ensure that these are observed, he said.(GoaNewsHub)

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Brain Implant Translates Paralyzed Man’s Thoughts Into Text With 94% Accuracy

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A man paralyzed from the neck down due to a spinal cord injury he sustained in 2007 has shown he can communicate his thoughts, thanks to a brain implant system that translates his imagined handwriting into actual text.

 

The device – part of a longstanding research collaboration called BrainGate – is a brain-computer interface (BCI), that uses artificial intelligence (AI) to interpret signals of neural activity generated during handwriting.

In this case, the man – called T5 in the study, and who was 65 years of age at the time of the research – wasn’t doing any actual writing, as his hand, along with all his limbs, had been paralyzed for several years.

But during the experiment, reported in Nature earlier in the year, the man concentrated as if he were writing – effectively, thinking about making the letters with an imaginary pen and paper.

As he did this, electrodes implanted in his motor cortex recorded signals of his brain activity, which were then interpreted by algorithms running on an external computer, decoding T5’s imaginary pen trajectories, which mentally traced the 26 letters of the alphabet and some basic punctuation marks.

“This new system uses both the rich neural activity recorded by intracortical electrodes and the power of language models that, when applied to the neurally decoded letters, can create rapid and accurate text,” says first author of the study Frank Willett, a neural prosthetics researcher from Stanford University.

 

Similar systems developed as part of the BrainGate have been transcribing neural activity into text for several years, but many previous interfaces have focused on different cerebral metaphors for denoting which characters to write – such as point-and-click typing with a computer cursor controlled by the mind.

It wasn’t known, however, how well the neural representations of handwriting – a more rapid and dexterous motor skill – might be retained in the brain, nor how well they might be leveraged to communicate with a brain-computer interface, or BCI.

Here, T5 showed just how much promise a virtual handwriting system could offer for people who have lost virtually all independent physical movement.

BrainImpantDevice2A diagram of how the system works. (F. Willett et al., Nature, 2021, Erika Woodrum)

In tests, the man was able to achieve writing speeds of 90 characters per minute (about 18 words per minute), with approximately 94 percent accuracy (and up to 99 percent accuracy with autocorrect enabled).

Not only is that rate significantly faster than previous BCI experiments (using things like virtual keyboards), but it’s almost on par with the typing speed of smartphone users in the man’s age group – which is about 115 characters or 23 words per minute, the researchers say.

 

“We’ve learned that the brain retains its ability to prescribe fine movements a full decade after the body has lost its ability to execute those movements,” Willett says.

“And we’ve learned that complicated intended motions involving changing speeds and curved trajectories, like handwriting, can be interpreted more easily and more rapidly by the artificial-intelligence algorithms we’re using than can simpler intended motions like moving a cursor in a straight path at a steady speed.”

Basically, the researchers say that alphabetical letters are very different from one another in shape, so the AI can decode the user’s intention more rapidly as the characters are drawn, compared to other BCI systems that don’t make use of dozens of different inputs in the same way.

BrainImpantDevice2The man’s imagined handwriting, as interpreted by the system. (Frank Willett)

Despite the potential of this first-of-its-kind technology, the researchers emphasize that the current system is only a proof of concept so far, having only been shown to work with one participant, so it’s definitely not a complete, clinically viable product as yet.

The next steps in the research could include training other people to use the interface, expanding the character set to include more symbols (such as capital letters), refining the sensitivity of the system, and adding more sophisticated editing tools for the user.

There’s plenty of work to still be done, but we could be looking at an exciting new development here, giving the ability to communicate back to people who lost it.

“Our results open a new approach for BCIs and demonstrate the feasibility of accurately decoding rapid, dexterous movements years after paralysis,” the researchers write.

“We believe that the future of intracortical BCIs is bright.”

The findings are reported in Nature.

 

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Astronomers Detect a ‘Tsunami’ of Gravitational Waves. Here’s Where They’re Coming From

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The most recent gravitational wave observing run has netted the biggest haul yet.

In less than five months, from November 2019 to March 2020, the LIGO-Virgo interferometers recorded a massive 35 gravitational wave events. On average, that’s almost 1.7 gravitational wave events every week for the duration of the run.

 

This represents a significant increase from the 1.5-event weekly average detected on the previous run, and a result that has plumped up the number of total events to 90 since that first history-making gravitational wave detection in September 2015.

“These discoveries represent a tenfold increase in the number of gravitational waves detected by LIGO and Virgo since they started observing,” said astrophysicist Susan Scott of the Australian National University in Australia.

“We’ve detected 35 events. That’s massive! In contrast, we made three detections in our first observing run, which lasted four months in 2015-16. This really is a new era for gravitational wave detections and the growing population of discoveries is revealing so much information about the life and death of stars throughout the Universe.”

Of the 35 new detections, 32 are most likely the result of mergers between pairs of black holes. This is when pairs of black holes on a close orbit are drawn in by mutual gravity, eventually colliding to form one single, more massive black hole.

That collision sends ripples through space-time, like the ripples generated when you throw a rock in a pond; astronomers can analyze those ripples to determine the properties of the black holes.

mergersAn infographic showing the masses of all black hole mergers announced to date. (LIGO-Virgo/Aaron Geller/Northwestern University)

The data revealed a range of black hole masses, with the most massive clocking in at around 87 times the mass of the Sun. That black hole merged with a companion 61 times the mass of the Sun, resulting in a single black hole 141 times the mass of the Sun. That event is named GW200220_061928.

Another merger produced a black hole 104 times the mass of the Sun; both of these are considered intermediate mass black holes, a mass range between 100 and around a million solar masses, in which very few black holes have been detected.

 

GW200220_061928 is also interesting, because at least one of the black holes involved in the merger falls into what we call the upper mass gap. According to our models, black holes over about 65 solar masses can’t form from a single star, as stellar mass black holes do.

That’s because the precursor stars are so massive that their supernovae – known as pair-instability supernovae – ought to completely obliterate the stellar core, leaving nothing behind to gravitationally collapse into a black hole.

This suggests that the 87 solar mass black hole might be the product of a previous merger. GW200220_061928 isn’t the first that’s involved a black hole in the upper mass gap, but its detection does suggest that hierarchical black hole mergers are not uncommon.

And another event includes an object in the lower mass gap – a gap of black holes between 2.5 and 5 times the mass of the Sun. We’ve not conclusively found a neutron star larger than the former, or a black hole smaller than the latter; the event named GW200210_092254 involved an object clocking in at 2.8 solar masses. Astronomers have concluded that it’s probably a very small black hole.

 

“Looking at the masses and spins of the black holes in these binary systems indicates how these systems got together in the first place,” Scott said.

“It also raises some really fascinating questions. For example, did the system originally form with two stars that went through their life cycles together and eventually became black holes? Or were the two black holes thrust together in a very dense dynamical environment such as at the centre of a galaxy?”

The other three events out of the 35 involved a black hole and something else much less massive, likely a neutron star. These events are of great interest to astronomers, since they might reveal the stuff that’s inside a neutron star – if we ever detect one that emits light. By finding more of these mergers, we can start to build a better understanding of how they actually occur.

“Only now are we starting to appreciate the wonderful diversity of black holes and neutron stars,” said astronomer Christopher Berry of the University of Glasgow in the UK

“Our latest results prove that they come in many sizes and combinations – we have solved some long-standing mysteries, but uncovered some new puzzles too. Using these observations, we are closer to unlocking the mysteries of how stars, the building blocks of our Universe, evolve.”

The team’s paper has been submitted for publication, and can be found on preprint server arXiv.

 

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